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Catch me if you can...

From "Rags to Riches" is a rare phenomenon but "Riches to Rags" is an even rarer one. It is rightly said that man is his own worst enemy, because when it comes to money matters, there is enough for the need but not for man's greed. Peter Lynch quoted, "Insiders might sell their shares for any number of reasons, but they buy them for only one: they think the price will rise." It's this thin line of discrimination, which delineates a wise and ambitious investor from an over optimistic speculator. In Layman's terms, Insider Trading could be defined as "Misusing the access to confidential information by indulging in an illegal practice of trading on the stock exchange to one's own advantage".

Strict regulations, amendments and alternate measures such as acceptance of a cheque from the accused are in place to contain insider trading. However, the question is why do such incidents keep happening? The regulators do their job by unfolding the evidences and pressing charges against the accused, but why do they fail to identify such events and take preventive measures in the first place? Insider trading happens not due to the absence of regulations but because of the oversight of existing regulations. While technology has made its advancements, the systemic loopholes have not been able to catch up with the crime.

In the wake of insider trading convictions, the need of the hour is to put the latest technology advancements to a more widespread and preventive use rather than just as a means to detect such frauds. The use of technologies such as Social Network Analysis (SNA) and Pattern Detection Technology (PDT) is slowly gaining ground in areas such as Anti Money Laundering (AML), identity theft, Denial of Service (DOS) attacks, network frauds, terrorist financing and other related financial crimes by companies in the financial services, telecom and the public sector space.

SNA tools have proven successful in insider trading cases identified by the Australian Securities & Investment Commission. SNA essentially is a "data mining technique revealing the structure and information content by representing it as a set of interconnected, linked objects or entities." Unlike other analytical techniques such as statistics, which use the notion of independence of subjects as their foundation, SNA can provide useful insights into large datasets along network, spatial and time dimensions based on the interconnectedness of the subjects being analyzed. SNA measures could involve a Circle network where in an asset has been transferred between multiple dealers (nodes) indicating a Networking Fraud ring, or a Star Network. 

Another possible way of ramping up compliance capabilities is via Pattern Detection Technology. This involves analyzing trade patterns, which is possible only with automation techniques such as PDT. While one pre-clears trading, observing the restricted lists of stocks that cannot be traded due to the access of inside information and orders on the trading desk are mandatory. In addition, one should also have a knack to look for patterns; especially identify those that may have been flagged as a conflict and look at front-running reports in order to catch abnormal patterns.

Like all good theories, thoughtful application is required to achieve the desired outcomes. Even the implementation of SNA comes with certain limitations. There is no point in reacting to a fraudulent instance after its occurrence, which makes SNA retrospective in nature. In addition, associating a transaction at runtime to SNA significantly slows transaction time, which is not in-line with today's corporate buzzword of "Zero waiting time". Further, data protection laws and regulatory measures can be a bottleneck, which could render most investigations futile as they run afoul with authorities. Then of course, there is the technical glitch of the software application that enables SNA implementation through desktop based, client-based or enterprise-level server based implementations. Organizations may opt for either flavor depending on the implementation complexity. On the other hand, the implementation of PDT also poses complexity in terms of the magnitude of data to be analyzed. Corporate politics, fear to question the senior management and the legal implications of questioning your boss definitely come in the way of PDT implementation. Even with intensive scrutiny, it boils down to a cat and mouse game, as no technology will be able to catch a tipster if he decides to meet someone at a bar or a soccer game, unless they are bugged.

As with all blessings, the modern day cyberspace (corporate web pages, bulletin boards, newsgroups and corporate e-mails) brings unwanted attention as it increases the potential to misuse inside information, thereby multiplying opportunities for liability. To err is human, which is evident as employees tend to go overboard while using these communication channels and lose sight of the possible legal implications of their actions. They are under the illusion that the modern day electronic communications are difficult to trace, whereas the "technology trail" is far easier to detect than a "paper trail".

With all said and done, it is imperative to proactively implement these technologies alongside the stringent SEC enforcements. It remains to be seen whether techno-advancements are able to deliver an impregnable system or whether another conviction reoccurs. One can only hope for the best!

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Comments

This is too informative an article and a commendable work

The Article starts on an interesting note, and covers all the points in a well descriptive yet concise manner. Also providing the solutions. All in all a Good One.

This blog is an informative read tying together coherently several thoughts in this area, that however is the reason there is not much insight. SNA and PDT are not generic technologies that can be applied to a problem situation. Intelligence relies on accurate definition of the data universe and the items to perform the intelligence on i.e. the value is derived from precisely defining the algorithms, technology is merely a platform that evaluates these algorithms and returns results or raises red flags. That is where the blog could taken a direction on the evolution of the technology stack or instances of algos to identify insider trading. Hopefully, future blogs can take a clear stance on the modelling the business problem and / or the technology implementation aiding its solution. Good luck!

Ashmita, while it is fine to borrow ideas, they need to be clearly referenced by quoting the source or like, which in some places your post doesnt. You may want to be wary of that.

To Start with, The title of the post is a cynosure.

A good informative read targeting smart readers who understand the complexities of Insider trading. The content covers pretty much a concise explanation as intended.

On the contrary, as far as I understand the PDT technique would not really be helpful in detecting/preventing Insider Trading. A stock is restricted for the Insiders and not the outsiders, So I believe it would be difficult to graph out the pattern. There are amazing charts and techniques like Head and Shoulder patterns, Candle stick theories to read the movement in a stock, but again a pattern is formed after a transaction takes place(post-mortem).

Stepping in the Regulators shoes, insider trading can never be prevented but penalized.

All in all., a very crisp read pointing out the possible solutions.

I doubt the latest comment Brey,because IP check will be thoroughly done and more over Insider trading is well explained in all financial journals and here the author tried to express her opinion in her words.In short its a perspective,the author never said this technology must be used etc she only expressed her idea.

@Brey – Thanks for your valuable feedback. While, I have taken all necessary precautions (through in-house tools and reviews) to prevent any direct infringement of intellectual property, I would be happy to receive specific details so that I can investigate this matter further. My email id is: Ashmita_Ray@infosys.com

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