The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA) 2009…
… And the band is still playing on
My dear fellow Netizens, have you picked up any nationally renowned newspaper lately and flipped to page 5A, or switched on the tube and frivolously flipped the channel through the umpteen news channels? If you have, then I am sure you could not have escaped the raging debate regarding the ARRA and its impact on the US economy and its social implications and its morality in a society that is considered as the beacon of free market and its….. You get the drift.
There have been reams written about it and I am sure it definitely possesses the second spot close behind to amount of reports that appear about first lady’s attire or the first dog’s day out. Think of the poor trees in these times of go-green… somebody? I have seen people like Rush Limbaugh and Ann Coulter turn green in the face berating the proposals and trust me you don’t want me to mention the color that some of the liberals turn while praising the reforms effusively in their nasal baritones.
So, what is at the core of the debate? Me thinks, primarily the issue of what happens to those 45 Million Americans who cant afford the mind blowing amount of dollars one has to spent on trivial things such as going for a regular annual checkup ($500+ anybody?). Or for that matter what happens to those 300+ Million Americans whose last names are not Gates, Buffet, or Madoff for that matter. Do you seriously think that the guy has turned a corner and actually came out because of any sense of deep-rooted moral dilemma? If you do, then you should immediately come out with your own retirement scheme. Wall Street is looking to fill the void. But I digress. Back to issue at hand.
A bit of history …
For ages the free-market forces have driven the healthcare industry. People will get sick, people will need medicine and care, demand will always grow in direct proportion to the population and age, and hence supply side economics will always hold the higher grounds. Simple! The attitude coupled with Government’s apathy (or possibly lack of inclination towards politically suicidal endeavor), kept on driving the inefficiencies and thereby the costs higher and higher. It reached a point wherein more than 45 million Americans were uninsured and another similar number significantly under-insured. Something had to give but who will take the “bull by the horns”, or better yet “the lobbyists by the scruff of their Armani jackets”.
… And a bit of causality logic.
In steps Barak Obama. A president who actually has the political capital (not withstanding the boastful claims of our ex in front of the Reagan building in 2004); a president who is implicitly liberal; a president who actually carries triple digit IQ score, and who actually thinks that he can change the World. Bare essentials if one wants to take on the Quagmire that is the ‘K’ street. This guy is so secured in his present and for that matter even for 2012 that he is already looking for his legacy. Combine that with a long-considered-free-market-bastion subject such as Healthcare reforms and you have a ready made recipe for lasting impressions into posterity. Therein lays the foundations of The ARRA 2009.
The sudden economic downturn of late 2008 simply expedited the process as more and more people lost their jobs and simply could not afford the healthcare premiums on their own. Another side effect of the downturn was the reduction in protestations about the growing fiscal deficit at least for the short term as every body from banks to auto manufacturers were looking for government bailout hence foregoing the immediate concern for the deficit. After all beggars can’t be screaming about traffic jams because of crowded streets. This provided the cash bin that was so needed for supporting an ambitious endeavor such as the President’s all-encompassing healthcare reform bill.
Now, now before you start reminding me of March of Ides (circa 42 BC), for suggesting that it all had to do with one man’s greater-than-life-ambition, let me state that the need and cause were always there. It just so transpired that Obama’s election turned out to be the ‘assassination of arch duke Ferdinand’ for US healthcare, and not a minute too soon.
A bit of what it is …
The core of the program is driven by a simple motto, “Affordable healthcare for all Americans”. It is definitely not a behemoth centralized government controlled healthcare system though it does give me that feeling once in a while. Nobody is talking about merging United and Aetna with CMS, at least not yet. It is primarily a program of small carrot and large stick to encourage efficiencies in the system in order to reduce unnecessary costs and use those savings to provide for those who can’t afford the healthcare insurance premiums.
Quite a lot of capital has been laid out for increasing subsidies for high risk, low income, and elderly population. At the same time curbs are imposed on commercial payers with respect to risk subsidies from CMS to ensure the public obligation for healthcare can be protected from ever-rising costs. Providers are encouraged to tighten their SOPs and quality of care through “incentivePlus” initiatives. And don’t forget that oft complaining (How can I survive on barely a couple of million dollars a year?) physician pool. They are the ones who are really going to get the message. Improve the quality of care and you get paid else, forget about those bonuses and start worrying about the penalties.
In addition, in diversion from typical democratic behavior, the execution of plans and initiatives is proposed to be a lot more distributive rather than traditional centralized approach. For example states have been earmarked with a part of the stimulus bill outlay, based on their respective populations and maturity of health care practices, that they can spend as they deem fit. But before you hard core liberals go brandishing the “traitor” placards, know this that all of this come with greater government scrutiny and expanded government. Nobody is forgetting the increase in powers vested with the Office of the National Coordinator. Go Democrats!!
And if anybody thought that the program will be focused only on subsidies and welfare, then they don’t know our Blackberry-toting president very well. How can one keep a technocrat away from focusing on technology and process streamlining to solve all evils? 36 Billion dollars worth of focus (that one is with a ‘B’). This is directly manifested in programs such as “Adopt a certified EMR by 2015 or else…”
… And a bit of what could come of it.
To be honest, it all depends upon the mood of the country by the time 2012 comes around. Majority of the provisions, due to the complexities involved, are long lead time items. They don’t come to fruition before 2014-2016 time-frame and if Obama is not around would they still find their executive sponsor? Answer is “I don’t know”. Maybe they are like the Indian open-economy reforms of 1991 that took a life of their own despite the defeat of Congress in 1996 or may be they are like Perestroika and Glasnost, which did not survive the fall of their charismatic sponsor.
But one thing is for sure that American Healthcare industry definitely needs to break the status quo. It has been languishing for far too long in the doldrums of partisan politics and conflicting interests and has become the laughing stock on the international stage. It needs a drastic and truly out-of-the-box rethink and ARRA, despite its nascent liberal tones, could be the first step in the right direction. At least with respect to the technology focus.
In my next few blogs, I will deep dive into some specific mandates of ARRA 2009, starting with the EMR mandate and what is going to be required by providers to support it (or how badly they are going to get hurt if they don’t support it).
Later.