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November 27, 2011

This holiday season, what will make shoppers click?

This Thanksgiving Day and day following often referred to as Black Friday witnessed blockbuster results for online retailers.  Thanksgiving sales ended up 39.3% over the holiday last year. Mobile traffic on Black Friday was 14.3 percent of all retail traffic compared to 5.6 percent in 2010. This season will definitely be an interesting time for marketers.  The National Retail Federation (NRF) projects that 36% of holiday shopping will be done online (leveraging the Web for researching, comparison shopping before making a purchase). 

Continue reading "This holiday season, what will make shoppers click?" »

November 15, 2011

A closer look at the curve(s)

An immediate mention of the Bell curve would ensure no one reads my blog beyond the first line. Talking about the curves that mere mortals are interested in, I remember myself once hunting for a bean filled "Simba" toy in the neighborhood stores in NY. I couldn't find the thing I was looking for; to be handpicked and shipped to a destination of interest. Simba being the protagonist in "The Lion King" a landmark animation movie of our generation, not finding it left me a little disappointed. So, I turned to Amazon and found instantly an abundant choice of the product. I did not get to hand pick it, but got hold of the authentic Disney collection. The reviews helped making sure it was a good buy. Not wasting much time, I shipped it to be handed over on the desired date. Did it reach its destination on time? How was it received? Or it was redirected abruptly while in transit is a story to be told elsewhere.

The fact that I was not able to find it in the neighborhood Toys R Us and Sears but was able to find easily on Amazon.com with multiple vendors with recent reviews implied that there was considerable demand of the product. Did the assortment managers miss a trick somewhere?

Then I wondered the product would have lost out in the assortment optimization/SKU rationalization exercise.        

Then I came across a theory which contradicted the fundamental principle behind assortment optimization in the title, "The Long Tail" by Chris Anderson. It talks about how the endless choices available to the consumers are bending the 80-20 rule wherein the top 20% of products make up your 80% of revenues. With the advent of digital commerce, the incremental cost attached with carrying humongous assortment has drastically reduced to become almost negligible. The once seemingly endless aisles of Wal-Mart are no match when it comes to the practically endless, virtual aisles of Amazon.

An interesting statistics published in the book says, 25% of Amazon's music sales are with products which are not available in a brick and mortar retailers assortment. It's more interesting to know that this percentage is getting bigger by the day. The sales of these titles are frequent but small in number and geographically diverse, but they are not the constraints the online retailer has to lose sleep over.

The assortment optimization fundamentally tries to optimize the number of products that would make the maximum sales and SKU rationalization does the same with the SKUs within a product line assuming the consumer picks the product from within the available choices.

If I try and combine in a crude scenario:

A K-Mart aisle has 5 brands of a product line and after the SKU rationalization it decides to do away with one brand which makes the least numbers in terms of sales.

Now when a customer comes and tries to find the brand which has been rationalized, he/she might not go for the available brands but order it online. If this occurs a couple of times, the retailer might just lose out on the customer.

You can't mistake the brick and mortar retailer for optimizing its assortment as it has to maximize the returns owing to the ever increasing costs involved in physical sales viz. the inventory carrying costs, real estate prices, promotional expenses, etc. The only comforting factor is the limited geography a store has to cater to. For the online retailer though the market is limitless, the cost of sales is very low. Only thing is, it has to ensure the search results are accurate enough to show the relevant products on the first page or the consumer would switch websites in a jiffy.

Visualizing the scenario on the bell curve will tell you the brick and mortar retailers are trying to concentrate on the chunk that generates maximum revenue and it makes sense for the online retailers to spend larger efforts on the tail of it. In short, both are waging their battles on the either sides of the curve.

It's not a level playing field. Still, the game never stops!

-          Harshad Deshpande

November 7, 2011

Are Brick and Mortar companies facing extinction?

The online retail sales have grown by more than 20% annually compared to only 2.9% for brick and mortar retail sales in the last decade. Does this imply that even the large brick and mortar businesses are soon going to be extinct? The answer to this probably lies in adapting rather than fighting the change.

Continue reading "Are Brick and Mortar companies facing extinction?" »

June 2, 2011

Don't be fooled, it isn't thunder. Staying put would be a blunder

Continue reading "Don't be fooled, it isn't thunder. Staying put would be a blunder" »

March 28, 2011

Global eCommerce Implementations: What's your instance strategy?

According to Forrester Research, eCommerce will reach nearly $300 Billion by 2015. The race in the eCommerce space is heating up with eBay buying GSI Commerce (Amazon rival) earlier today. We are already seeing a surge in the number of global eCommerce implementations and instance strategy is a question that every large RCL firm operating globally is grappling with. While there is no single answer to this question, it depends on a few factors like below:

 

1.       Business organization model (Centralized globally -vs- De-centralized regionally)

2.       Speed to market

3.       Maintainability

4.       Upgrade cycles

5.       Integration with other enterprise systems

 

Based on the weightage that the global firms place on these factors and rank them against single global or regional instances, you can arrive at the strategy that best fits their business model and strategic goals.

 

Let's look at the pros & cons in a single instance strategy:

Pros:

1. Single global instance of the application configured for different markets

2. Easier rollout of global feature set (eg: branding changes can be rolled out quickly)

3. Optimal utilization of infrastructure across the globe (leverage 24 hr cycle to meet the peak load requirements from Latin America to Asia-Pac)

 

 

Cons:

1. Longer time to market as each requirement has to be analyzed for applicability to all markets and developed

2. Each time a new feature is rolled out, all markets have to upgrade to that version at the same time. If all the markets do not upgrade at the same time, divergent code bases have to be maintained leading to dilution of the benefits with a global implementation

3. Shared application and infrastructure failure will impact multiple markets at the same time

 

 

Another way to answer the question is to determine the degree of separation. If you have global business features required only 20% of the time while 80% of the needs are for regional features with a faster turnaround, it may not be worthwhile to go with a single instance strategy. The regional requirements could be diverse and it is important for the business to react to the regional requirements either to tap the market or counter competition.

 

Drawing a parallel to the cloud computing world, Salesforce has a different strategy as opposed to others in the space. Salesforce.com upgrades everyone simultaneously. There are different models adopted by businesses given the nature of their organization structures. In an M&A scenario where integration and unifying the affiliates was key, the model was to have a single global instance and upgrade all markets at the same time whenever there was a change. A large Logistics provider went with a 6 month window for the end users to upgrade after which the previous version was not supported. A global CPG firm organized regionally implemented a regional instance model so they could react faster to regional requirements.

 

It is important to figure out a robust instance strategy given your business model and priorities and stick to it from the beginning of the implementation. Governance models need to be established to carry out the decision taken and enforce it throughout the global rollout phase. Any change in stance on the instance strategy during implementation leads to a lot of unnecessary costs and complexity.

 

So, what's your instance strategy?

'Like' my page, but don't forget to love my food

Recently owners of a small time fast-food joint filed for bankruptcy. The fast food joint did not have a dedicated FB page. The petition was declined by the magistrate who commented, "One who never existed can never die!" As the word goes, either you exist on FB or you don't exist at all.

With the ever rising popularity of social networking sites like Facebook and My Space, the virtual taste of food is certainly on an upscale. I was reading an article on the invasion of social media in the fast food industry and was amazed to find that almost all known / little known restaurants and fast food chains in US today have a dedicated facebook page which is full of apps and trigger points for drawing customer attention.  An interesting example was of a restaurant called Lenny's sub shop which launched a campaign offering free half pound sub to every new and existing facebook fan for a week and tripled their fan base in 3 days. Meanwhile, it has to be seen if this fan base is converted in footfalls.

Social media sure facilitates a more advanced and far reaching awareness of the brand and is a cheaper and easier tool these days to gain publicity. Let's list down the various advantages of having presence in social media sites:

·         Increased brand awareness

·         Reviews and feedback on regular basis

·         Innovative ideas at times suggested by consumers themselves

·         Easy place holder for promotions and campaigns

As they say, "All that flutters are not eagle wings" we don't know if the presence on social networking sites is quite the winning stroke.

Imagine a scenario where a small fast food chain named "Beans n Dough" develops a dedicated page on FB. The average footfall on weekdays is 500 and on weekends is 1500. It designs a campaign to attract new customers, increase popularity and improve sales. The FB page has a food puzzle game, solving which the user is entitled to a complimentary coffee on a minimum bill of $10.  The puzzle game is a major hit and has everyone on FB going gaga about it. Suddenly it has a fan base of 15000 over a period of a week and has thousands of 'likes' and innumerable 'shares'. One of the user releases the crack of the puzzle and as a result everyone who visits cracks it. The following week there is a sudden surge of customers. The promo team has done its job. Now the store faces the tricky part. The weekday footfall has surged to 1500 and the weekend rush has reached a dizzying 5000. The store doesn't have the capacity to handle such numbers and the customer service starts to get affected. The workflow is not followed to satiate the numbers and the product quality deteriorates. To fulfill the rise in demand, the store has to order raw material at ad-hoc quantities and at non-economical prices. The whiplash effect of the sudden rise in demand sends shockwaves backwards and the buying department orders large stocks of raw material for the following weeks. At the store, customers aren't happy. The existing loyal customers switch on to other fast-food joints to stay away from queues and the new customers don't bother to visit twice owing to the sub-standard product and the service. What started as a superb marketing campaign proved to be a perfect recipe for disaster for the fast food joint.   

What could be the repercussion of such a situation on the fast food chain?  Negative publicity, customer's criticism, blasphemy. What initially sounded a cool marketing strategy, ended up creating a negative impact on sales and brand image.

Since the nature of food industry is such that there is a need of constant marketing / publicity of products to entice the customers with something new, social networking sites serves as the perfect platform for it. Put some cool aaps on your page, let the customer explore what you have to offer through games and contests, gain word of mouth by expanding your fan base and you sure can do a lot of marketing and that too at a price which you would be too foolish to ignore.

But is this publicity translating directly into increased sales or new customers? What the seller should not forget is that campaigning through social media can fetch one time sale or may be a few more times but an elevation in the number of loyal customers can only be achieved of the rest of the P's of marketing are not ignored.

Unless the promotions are supported by solid pillars of product, price and place - and this holds very true in case of fast food industry - the hype of social media will not last long.

Lets take the example of the big players like McDonalds, Sub way etc.

When they promote the product on a face book page, the user is also made sure of the fact that the product will be fresh and of good quality, it will be easily available and the price will be affordable. The item is absolutely fresh, the supply chain and logistics are completely supporting the warehouse - store business and pricing is sensitive to the average customer's pocket.

Any fast food player, when plans to venture into a new media platform, should make sure to get answers to the following questions:

·         Does increasing fan base translate to increase sales?

·         Do the fast food chains make permanent customers via this media?

·         How long lasting is the effect of every campaign launched?

·         Does liking the FB page actually yield in liking the food?

·         Is it just the freebies which attract customers?

Marketing through social media surely has a lot of advantages these days, given the kind of penetration it has amongst the consumers. But a player has to carefully play his cards to ensure that the visibility it attains through campaigning fetches more and permanent customers instead of shoving them away.

Going back to the stated illustration on "Beans n Dough", can we have ways to control how a viral promotion is limited like a nuclear reaction to harness its unlimited energy to good use? Your suggestions are welcome to be a part of the next blog in this series.

Co authors: Sneha Tarang (sneh_tarang@infosys.com) &

                     Harshad Deshpande  (harshadhanumant_d@infosys.com)

March 4, 2011

The mCommerce Way

Susie Lonie of Vodafone UK had never thought that the little pilot project done in Nairobi will soon become a household name in Kenya. The founder of M-Pesa in Africa has paved way for mobile payments across African countries where the customers can transfer money, withdraw cash and buy airtime from their mobile phones. Popular in the 57% of Kenyan adult population, the number of domestic transactions done by M-Pesa has outstripped the money transfers Western Union does globally.

Well, this is just a small instance which unveils the power of mCommerce. Going by the numbers, there are 490 million mobile Internet users globally, with that number set to increase to 1 billion by 2011. According to the Facebook official statistics released in January 2011, there are more than 200 million active users [40 percent] currently accessing Facebook through their mobile devices and people who use Facebook on their mobile devices are twice as active as non-mobile users!

Though mobile commerce is one amongst many commerce channels in multi channel commerce, it has the potential to rule the roost as mobile phones have become more important than a wallet, carried everywhere from the dining table to bag's pocket to the folds of sleeping pillow. A recent research published by ATG (Art Technology Group) shows 33% of consumers across the world are using their mobile devices to browse or research products and services at least periodically, 13 % are using them to make purchases. Usually, mobile is used during all four phases of multi channel commerce, namely Engage, Transact, Fulfill and Services.

As using a Smartphone has become second nature to consumers, it should come as no surprise that retailers are making use of all modern and contemporary P's of marketing to engage their customers at this new and valuable touch point. If one has to ponder upon, what are the most frequently mCommerce transactions -  making a purchase using a mobile device; use of a mobile wallet or a digital coupon; price comparison using bar code scanning.  But there is no end to innovation and retailers are doing their best to make hay while the sun of mCommerce shines. Targeted GPS based promotions, mobile virtual malls, digital signage integration with mobile location and Coupon/gift card redemption at Store PoS are some of the new techniques being used to tap the power of the technology.  According to NRF, a reported 74% of online retailers either have in place or are developing mobile commerce strategies, while 20% have already implemented their complete plans. These have essentially become the need of the hour especially when customers can actually buy a Corvette on eBay mobile for $75,000. This is an eye opener which demonstrates that people are whole heartedly embracing the new technology and keeping the businesses on their toes.

And to help businesses bridge the gap, IT and business solution providers have come to the fore. Apart from providing mobile services for websites and e-commerce sites, the other areas of focus are Barcode/RFID solutions; Telematics; GPS based solutions; real time analytics and actionable alerts to store exception scenarios and robotics.  iPhone apps such as Shopkick and Android have created huge buzz in the market by launching easily downloadable apps to help customers buy when they are on move. A leading pharmacy retailer in US allows the users to refill the prescriptions from account history, take the order prints and locate store just by a single touch on the app.

Another growth opportunity in mobile industry is that of mobile payments which is gradually gaining traction. Since most of the companies only limit themselves to the usage of credit/debit cards for mobile payment, Paypal and Isis see a huge opportunity in the fledgling industry. Isis, which is a joint venture between AT&T, T-Mobile and Verizon wireless, intends to create a mobile wallet that will eliminate the need to carry cash, credit and debit cards, reward cards, coupons, tickets and transit passes.  The time is not surely far off when the customers won't carry anything in their wallets, not even debit/credit cards, just a wave of mobile phone will do!

So, the ball has been set off rolling and market forces will drive it. Let's see how much momentum it gathers!

June 17, 2010

Winning Consumers In-Store - 2

Based on my last post , I think we can safely say that the battle for winning consumers at the shelf will be decided by in-store technology and how well it is used. Companies that have deployed this technology enjoy a 360-degree view of real-time shopper and merchandise activity, greater visibility into the efficacy of promotions, and higher engagement as consumers interact with the shelf.

Continue reading "Winning Consumers In-Store - 2" »

June 8, 2010

Winning Consumers In-Store - 1

For as long as I can remember, influencing opinions and guiding decision-making at the point of purchase have been key objectives for CPG companies. However, recent developments in the global economic landscape and rapidly evolving technology are gradually increasing the need for CPG companies to engage consumers at the moment of truth, in-store.

Why CPG companies are focusing on in-store interactions?

Continue reading "Winning Consumers In-Store - 1" »

April 1, 2010

Mobile applications to re-define the demography and modus operandi of Retail Industry

Mobile apps are the latest fad in the techno savvy world today. Search for mobile apps in any search engine, and you will be surprised by the sheer number of search results. Development of mobile apps is almost like a cottage industry today and everyone wants to hitch on to the bandwagon that Steve Jobs pioneered.

But few industries had a tectonic shift with the advent of smart phones as Retail industry, as this industry is so much intertwined with the end user and now to the end user’s logical alter ego, the ubiquitous mobile phone.

Continue reading "Mobile applications to re-define the demography and modus operandi of Retail Industry" »

March 28, 2010

3g smartphones: the impact on stores and multi channel commerce

With the advent of smart phones and 3G bandwidth, from a consumer standpoint, bricks and clicks worlds are merging fast. What would this mean to the stores of the future and multi-channel commerce?

Many retailers had traditionally kept their stores and ecommerce divisions separate, but several have jumped on the multi channel commerce and are integrating their operations and/ or capabilities. For instance, most store employees were incentivized to close the sales through the stores channel only, but the most progressive companies today have incentivized store representatives to increase e-commerce sales. “Buy online and pick up at store” is the corollary arrangement.

Yet, the paradigm broadly is that the “Attract and Sell” event happens in one channel mainly, which is then supported by “Post-Sale” events in other channels. Post Sale events could be  returns, exchanges and customer service.

Oncoming change: As in-store shoppers start getting quick and easy web access via 3G smartphones, I believe a paradigm shift is happening: the “Attract and Sell” event itself will be split amongst multiple channels. For instance, it will become easier for consumers to shortlist products into a shopping list on their mobile devices, walk into a store, show the list on their devices to the store reps, get store personnel to spend time helping choose the right product, and then go online to find the specific reviews, research the best price, and locate another neighbourhood store (or online retailer) to buy the product from. Throw in the possibility of the consumer getting quick pre-purchase feedback from one’s social network via twitter, and we can start imagining the complex inter-meshing of channels during the “Attract and Sell” even.

The genie is out of the bottle. It is now up to the retailers to decide how they react and manage this change. When faced with this scenario, do they risk losing engaging with the consumer when he pulls out his iphone 3G, or can they do something to quickly redirect such efforts to their own website and close the sale?

Making this happen would mean changes on several fronts, including:

Continue reading "3g smartphones: the impact on stores and multi channel commerce" »

January 12, 2010

Online Grocers: Accelerating out of the turn-3

Happy New Year to everyone and let’s hope we are moving towards a more positive economy and upswing in consumer sentiment. On that note, continuing from previous posts (Part 1 & Part 2)wherein we talked about ideas driven around the value theme, online retailers will have to additionally provide customers a richer shopping experience and engage them deeply, particularly around community interaction.

Also, the previous post is now part of a white paper. You can download the paper here to get more details.

Continue reading "Online Grocers: Accelerating out of the turn-3" »

October 8, 2009

What Retailers can learn from Elmo, Barney and Dora

I have a 7 year old and a 4 year old; who like most of the children their age love their television time. Seems like you can almost predict the age of a child by the TV shows that they like. You can also figure out the age of the kids by the tunes their parents can hum!!

The TV show "graduation" path seems to go from Baby Einstein to Elmo to Barney to Dora/ Diego to Caillou......will map the rest of it as my kids grow.

Seems to me that Retailers can pick up a few tips from these shows on customer segmentation and lifestyle driven merchandising.

Continue reading "What Retailers can learn from Elmo, Barney and Dora" »

October 5, 2009

Why can't "Google Adwords" be used in the brick & mortar world?

This blog post is inspired in part by Rahul's blog on "Can the grocery store provide an Amazon experience?". Set me thinking; seems like there are quite a few concepts that can be leveraged from the online world to provide consumers with a better shopping experience and in some cases make some money for the retailer as well.

This post is about the possibility of using a "Google Adwords" kind of concept to target consumers at a retail store at the "moment of truth"

Continue reading "Why can't "Google Adwords" be used in the brick & mortar world?" »

September 30, 2009

Advertising through Games & Social Commerce

For the last few weeks, I have been very much occupied during my weekends in trying to build my Farm and my Mafia gang. Before you start wondering about my spare time activities, let me reassure you that I’m actually referring to two of the hottest games on Facebook from a company called Zynga. The games being referred to here are “FarmVille” & “Mafia Wars”.

This led to the question - Would games from Retailers or CPG companies be an effective tool for social marketing and gathering customer feedback on new products & initiatives?

Continue reading "Advertising through Games & Social Commerce" »

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